Ambiguity in Iraq..demonstrations and a solution to Parliament or a government without al-Sadr

Ambiguity in Iraq..demonstrations and a solution to Parliament or a government without al-Sadr

Despite the pledge of Iraq’s leaders yesterday, Monday, to move forward with efforts to form a new government, following the sudden resignation of 73 deputies from the Sadrist bloc

, however, most observers agree that the political scene is surrounded by ambiguity.

After a prolonged political impasse that has lasted for months since the parliamentary elections that took place last October, it does not seem The country faces easy options.

“Dissolve Parliament?!”

I pushed The resignation of the deputies of the Sadrist movement led by

the Shiite man Muqtada al-Sadr , some blocs or parties to demand the dissolution of Parliament, including the “new generation.”

As Representative Sarwa Abdel Wahed called for “the dissolution of Parliament, because the withdrawal of the biggest winner in the elections puts the parliament in front of many questions and loses legitimacy.” And she announced in a tweet on her Twitter account yesterday that the MPs’ step “ The next generation is to resort to the Federal Court for two issues, the first of which is the interpretation of the brief period for choosing the President of the Republic, and the second of which is the interpretation of the mechanism for dissolving the House of Representatives.

We in the (new generation) call for the dissolution of Parliament; Because the withdrawal of the biggest winner in the elections puts the Council in front of many questions and loses legitimacy.

Our next step is to resort to the Federal Court for two issues: the interpretation of the short period To select the President of the Republic, and to explain the mechanism of dissolving the House of Representatives.

But many locals do not believe that this step will pass quickly, according to Al-Halbousi’s expectations. Some of them believe that any government without a chest will be “stillborn,” according to what was reported by the Associated Press. Now is whether the political parties will be able to form a government with al-Sadr in the opposition.

While others are likely to lead this unprecedented mass withdrawal of members of the Sadr bloc from parliament for the time The first since 2005. And the big gamble taken by one of the most influential politicians in the country, who enjoys a large number of supporters, to subsequent large-scale demonstrations in the street. On the street, the country may witness massive demonstrations, if a government is formed “without the approval of al-Sadr.”

The same predicament

Faced with these bitter options, the ethnicities find themselves in the same predicament that began after the elections on the tenth of last October (2021) and continues to this day, without a new government or president, while the economic and living crisis pressures them.

It is noteworthy that al-Sadr won 73 parliamentary seats out of 329 during the elections. In Parliament, what was at the time a blow to his Iranian-backed Shiite opponents, who lost about two-thirds of their seats and rejected the results.

Since then, the two sides have been locked in a fierce competition for power, even in A time when the country is facing increasing challenges including an impending food crisis resulting from severe drought and war in Ukraine.

Al-Sadr, bent on forming a majority government with his allies that would exclude the pro-Iran factions, was unable to muster enough lawmakers to obtain the two-thirds majority needed to elect the next president—a necessary step before naming the next prime minister and choosing the cabinet— Because of the “blocking third” used by his opponents, and they did not secure the required quorum in the parliamentary sessions.

He had no choice but to take this step of resignation, which I considered as a gamble. , especially since with the resignation of his deputies, it is now expected that the groups supported by Tehran has the majority in Parliament.

According to Iraqi law, in the event of a vacancy in a seat in the House of Representatives, the seat shall be occupied by the candidate who obtained the second largest number of votes in the constituency, and in this In the case, Al-Sadr's opponents will be from the so-called coordinating framework, an alliance led by parties loyal to or supported by Tehran, led by Al-Fateh and Nuri Al-Maliki's party).